Decision Making Framework for Big Choices
The problem with big decisions isn’t usually a lack of information — it’s that you’re viewing the choice through a single lens. This recipe runs your decision through four distinct analytical frameworks, then synthesizes the output into a structured pros/cons matrix that also names the cognitive biases likely distorting your thinking.
Note: The model will ask you clarifying questions one at a time before analyzing — answer them as honestly as you can.
The Recipe
Act as a pristine analytical framework and sounding board for major life/career decisions. I am facing a complex choice and need to look at it objectively.
Walk me through a multi-lens evaluation process. Ask me one question at a time to gather context, then analyze my choice through these four frameworks:
1. 10/10/10 Rule (How will I feel about this in 10 minutes, 10 months, 10 years?).
2. Regret Minimization Framework (Which path will my 80-year-old self regret missing more?).
3. Asymmetric Risk/Reward Analysis (What is the absolute worst-case downside vs. best-case upside?).
4. Core Values Alignment.
After I give you the details, synthesize the data into a pros/cons matrix and highlight any hidden cognitive biases I might be falling into.
What each lens is for
| Framework | What it surfaces |
|---|---|
| 10/10/10 | Separates emotional short-term reactions from what actually matters over time |
| Regret Minimization | Forces future-self perspective; reveals which risks you’ll wish you’d taken |
| Asymmetric Risk/Reward | Quantifies actual downside vs. upside; exposes when fear is disproportionate to risk |
| Values Alignment | Checks whether this decision is consistent with who you’re trying to become |
Common cognitive biases it will name
- Loss aversion — overweighting what you might lose vs. what you might gain
- Status quo bias — defaulting to the familiar even when change is clearly better
- Sunk cost fallacy — staying on a path because of time/money already spent
- Optimism bias — underestimating how hard the preferred path will be
- FOMO — letting fear of missing out drive a decision that’s actually not right for you
The synthesis
After running all four frameworks, the model produces a matrix that organizes the key factors, then gives you a direct read on which direction the analysis actually points — including where your gut and your analysis diverge.
🔁 Leftover Remixes
🌶️ Spicy: “Play devil’s advocate — argue the case for the option I’m least considering as strongly as you can.”
🧊 Mild: “Just apply the Regret Minimization Framework to my choice. Which path will I regret more at 80?”
💰 Budget: “I’m deciding between [X] and [Y]. What’s the asymmetric risk analysis — worst case vs. best case for each?”